Apac Commercial Real Estate Investment Still Subdued 2Q2024 Msci

According to MSCI’s latest Asia Pacific Capital Trends report, commercial real estate investment in the Asia Pacific (Apac) region continued to decline in the second quarter of 2024, reflecting a subdued market. The region saw completed deals worth US$32.4 billion ($42.4 billion), down 17% from the previous year. This brings the total sales activity in the first half of the year to US$70.4 billion, a decrease of 7% compared to the same period in the previous year.

The decline in investment volume is mainly due to the lackluster performance of the two largest markets in the region, China and Japan. China experienced a 19% decrease in investment volume to US$8.2 billion in the second quarter of 2024, while Japan saw a 39% decline to US$6 billion during the same period. Benjamin Chow, head of real assets research for Asia at MSCI, attributes China’s decline to weaker-than-expected GDP growth, while the focus on an imminent interest rate hike in Japan also impacted its investment activity.

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Despite this, there are notable differences across other Apac markets. Chow notes that one key observation at the midpoint of the year is that price adjustments in high-interest markets in the region are starting to stimulate demand. MSCI’s data shows that while investment volume in major Apac markets, excluding China and Japan, remained relatively stable, the number of transactions has increased for a second consecutive quarter. Additionally, these markets, which have higher interest rates compared to China and Japan, are seeing an increase in demand due to the possibility of future interest rate cuts.

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In terms of property types, hotels were the only segment that experienced an increase in deal volume in the second quarter of 2024, with a 57% surge to US$5.4 billion. Office investment volumes, on the other hand, saw a decline for the eighth consecutive quarter, falling 12% to US$11.3 billion. The industrial and retail segments also reported decreases of 35% and 18%, respectively, in deal volume to US$7.2 billion and US$6.5 billion.